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Projections, form and season leaders.
updated 6h ago
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCL Viking | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56 | 20 | 36 | 53 | WDWWW |
| 2 | UCL Bodø / Glimt | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 50 | WWWWL |
| 3 | Conf Tromsø | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 38 | LDLLW |
| 4 | Conf Molde | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 36 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 33 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Lillestrøm | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 32 | DLWWL |
| 7 | Brann | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 29 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 28 | WWLDD |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 25 | LDDDL |
| 10 | KFUM | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 | DLLWW |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 | WDDLW |
| 12 | Vålerenga | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 23 | DLDLD |
| 13 | HamKam | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 23 | LDLLL |
| 14 | Relegation Aalesund | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 21 | DLWLW |
| 15 | Relegation Kristiansund | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 19 | LDWLL |
| 16 | Relegation Start | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 16 | LWLWL |
Goals, and what is behind them. Games scored in separates the striker on five in five from the one with a hat-trick and two blanks, and non-penalty goals separates open play from the spot.
1

Amin Chiakha


Rosenborg · 20 · 21 apps · 1769 mins
11
Games scored in
13
Goals
2

Andreas Helmersen


Bodø / Glimt · 28 · 18 apps · 873 mins
7
Games scored in
11
Goals
3

Peter Christiansen


Viking · 26 · 20 apps · 1726 mins
9
Games scored in
11
Goals
4

Heine Åsen Larsen


Tromsø · 24 · 21 apps · 1553 mins
9
Games scored in
10
Goals
5

L. Alvheim


Kristiansund · 22 · 20 apps · 1561 mins
9
Games scored in
10
Goals
6

Eirik Hestad


Molde · 31 · 16 apps · 1159 mins
8
Games scored in
8
Goals
7

Lucas Haren


Vålerenga · 28 · 20 apps · 1314 mins
7
Games scored in
8
Goals
8

Simen Kvia-Egeskog


Viking · 23 · 21 apps · 1451 mins
6
Games scored in
8
Goals
9

Emil Breivik


Molde · 26 · 21 apps · 1885 mins
6
Games scored in
7
Goals
10

Zlatko Tripic


Viking · 33 · 20 apps · 1655 mins
6
Games scored in
6
Goals
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Every fixture we cover, with the full distribution rather than a single pick. Days run in order; within a day, the clearest reads come first.
Showing the next three days. Create a free account for a week or a fortnight ahead.
7 of 23 fixtures
Today
2 fixtures
Rosenborg v Sandefjord
4:00 PM
· form rising
64%
Rosenborg
Over 2.5 63%
BTTS 57%
Moderate clarity · 50
Tomorrow
4 fixtures
Start v HamKam
3:00 PM
· form rising
58%
Start
Over 2.5 62%
BTTS 60%
Moderate clarity · 41
Aalesund v Sarpsborg 08
3:00 PM
· form rising
47%
Aalesund
Over 2.5 64%
BTTS 65%
Low clarity · 18
Fredrikstad v Tromsø
12:30 PM
· form rising
44%
Fredrikstad
Over 2.5 52%
BTTS 55%
Low clarity · 15
Lillestrøm v Molde
5:15 PM
· form rising
42%
Molde
Over 2.5 59%
BTTS 61%
Low clarity · 9
Monday, Oct 12
1 fixture
KFUM v Vålerenga
5:00 PM
39%
KFUM
Over 2.5 60%
BTTS 62%
Low clarity · 1
CONFIDENT READS
Fixtures the model called at 60% or higher, last 30 days
67%
2 of 3 correct
The ones we got wrong
Molde 1–2 Aalesund
Model favoured home at 60.9%
League pulse
Goals per match
3.13
last 8 matches
Draws
13%
at or below 19% average
Model accuracy
54.1%
vs 33% at random · 294 scored
Avg clarity
30
7 fixtures ahead
On Paper
Research grade projections. Transparent tracking. No hype.
© 2026 On Paper Analytic. Informational research only.
Signal Clarity — 74
Both sides have played enough matches for the model to be confident, and the read is decisive rather than close.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 50
There's reasonable data behind this, but either the sample is still building or the outcomes sit fairly close together.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 41
There's reasonable data behind this, but either the sample is still building or the outcomes sit fairly close together.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 18
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 15
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 9
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 1
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high