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Projections, form and season leaders.
updated 6h ago
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCL PSV | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 19 | WWWLW |
| 2 | UCL AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 19 | WWWDW |
| 3 | UEL Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 7 | 18 | 17 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Conf FC Twente | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 16 | WDWWW |
| 5 | Conf Ajax | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 6 | Conf Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 | LWWLW |
| 7 | Conf Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 11 | WWDLD |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 11 | LLDDW |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 10 | WLDDD |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 | DLDWL |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 | WLDLD |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 5 | DLDLL |
| 13 | Telstar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 | LDLDL |
| 14 | SC Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 | LLDWD |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 5 | DLDWL |
| 16 | Relegation PEC Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 17 | Relegation ADO Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 2 | LDLLD |
| 18 | Relegation Willem II | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 2 | DLDLL |
Goals, and what is behind them. Games scored in separates the striker on five in five from the one with a hat-trick and two blanks, and non-penalty goals separates open play from the spot.
1

Artem Stepanov


FC Utrecht · 19 · 6 apps · 436 mins
5
Games scored in
5
Goals
2

Anis Hadj Moussa


Feyenoord · 24 · 6 apps · 526 mins
3
Games scored in
5
Goals
3

Søren Tengstedt


Go Ahead Eagles · 26 · 7 apps · 591 mins
5
Games scored in
5
Goals
4

Sven Mijnans


PSV · 26 · 6 apps · 284 mins
2
Games scored in
4
Goals
5

Milan Zonneveld


Sparta Rotterdam · 22 · 7 apps · 404 mins
4
Games scored in
4
Goals
6

Julian Brandt


Ajax · 30 · 7 apps · 441 mins
4
Games scored in
4
Goals
7

Gjivai Zechiël


Feyenoord · 22 · 6 apps · 507 mins
3
Games scored in
4
Goals
8

Brynjólfur Willumsson


FC Groningen · 26 · 7 apps · 515 mins
4
Games scored in
4
Goals
9

David van der Werff


FC Groningen · 22 · 7 apps · 568 mins
2
Games scored in
2
Goals
10

Irakli Yegoian


Excelsior · 22 · 7 apps · 615 mins
2
Games scored in
2
Goals
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Every fixture we cover, with the full distribution rather than a single pick. Days run in order; within a day, the clearest reads come first.
Showing the next three days. Create a free account for a week or a fortnight ahead.
8 of 26 fixtures
Early in the season, most reads here are low clarity teams haven't played enough matches for the model to be confident.
Today
4 fixtures
Go Ahead Eagles v Sparta Rotterdam
2:30 PM
55%
Go Ahead Eagles
Over 2.5 69%
BTTS 67%
Moderate clarity · 33
Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar
4:45 PM
· form rising
52%
Feyenoord
Over 2.5 57%
BTTS 58%
Moderate clarity · 30
Fortuna Sittard v FC Twente
6:00 PM
· form rising
50%
FC Twente
Over 2.5 62%
BTTS 62%
Low clarity · 25
Tomorrow
4 fixtures
FC Utrecht v Willem II
10:15 AM
60%
FC Utrecht
Over 2.5 73%
BTTS 68%
Moderate clarity · 34
Excelsior v FC Groningen
2:45 PM
51%
Excelsior
Over 2.5 62%
BTTS 62%
Low clarity · 27
Telstar v ADO Den Haag
12:30 PM
49%
Telstar
Over 2.5 57%
BTTS 58%
Low clarity · 19
PEC Zwolle v SC Cambuur
12:30 PM
39%
SC Cambuur
Over 2.5 65%
BTTS 66%
Low clarity · 1
CONFIDENT READS
Fixtures the model called at 60% or higher, last 30 days
88%
7 of 8 correct
The ones we got wrong
AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Willem II
Model favoured home at 71.7%
League pulse
Goals per match
2.89
last 9 matches
Draws
33%
above 26% average
Model accuracy
46.9%
vs 33% at random · 271 scored
Avg clarity
23
9 fixtures ahead
On Paper
Research grade projections. Transparent tracking. No hype.
© 2026 On Paper Analytic. Informational research only.
Signal Clarity — 41
There's reasonable data behind this, but either the sample is still building or the outcomes sit fairly close together.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 33
There's reasonable data behind this, but either the sample is still building or the outcomes sit fairly close together.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 30
There's reasonable data behind this, but either the sample is still building or the outcomes sit fairly close together.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 25
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 34
There's reasonable data behind this, but either the sample is still building or the outcomes sit fairly close together.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 27
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 19
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 1
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high