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Projections, form and season leaders.
updated 6h ago
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCL FC Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 | UCL Atlético de Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 | WLWWW |
| 3 | UCL Real Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 16 | LWWWD |
| 4 | UCL Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 15 | WLWWL |
| 5 | UEL Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 13 | LDWWL |
| 6 | Conf Deportivo Alavés | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 | WWLLD |
| 7 | Deportivo A Coruña | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 | WWDLD |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 | WDWLW |
| 9 | Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 8 | LLLWW |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 | LWWDD |
| 11 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 | DWLLD |
| 12 | Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 | LDDLW |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 | LWLWD |
| 14 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 | WLLLD |
| 15 | Celta de Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | LDDDW |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 | WLWLL |
| 17 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 | DWDLL |
| 18 | Relegation Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 | LLDLW |
| 19 | Relegation Málaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 | DDLLD |
| 20 | Relegation Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 | LLLWL |
Goals, and what is behind them. Games scored in separates the striker on five in five from the one with a hat-trick and two blanks, and non-penalty goals separates open play from the spot.
1

Raphinha


FC Barcelona · 29 · 7 apps · 555 mins
6
Games scored in
12
Goals
2

Sergio Camello


Rayo Vallecano · 25 · 7 apps · 470 mins
5
Games scored in
7
Goals
3

Lamine Yamal


FC Barcelona · 19 · 7 apps · 581 mins
4
Games scored in
7
Goals
4

Kylian Mbappé


Real Madrid · 27 · 7 apps · 630 mins
4
Games scored in
7
Goals
5

Yassir Zabiri


Racing Santander · 21 · 7 apps · 386 mins
3
Games scored in
6
Goals
6

Roberto Fernández


Espanyol · 24 · 7 apps · 613 mins
4
Games scored in
6
Goals
7

Fer Niño


Elche · 25 · 7 apps · 470 mins
4
Games scored in
5
Goals
8

Ante Budimir


Osasuna · 35 · 7 apps · 502 mins
4
Games scored in
5
Goals
9

Alberto Moleiro


Villarreal · 23 · 7 apps · 411 mins
2
Games scored in
2
Goals
10

Vinicius Junior


Real Madrid · 26 · 7 apps · 565 mins
1
Games scored in
1
Goals
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Every fixture we cover, with the full distribution rather than a single pick. Days run in order; within a day, the clearest reads come first.
Showing the next three days. Create a free account for a week or a fortnight ahead.
9 of 29 fixtures
Early in the season, most reads here are low clarity teams haven't played enough matches for the model to be confident.
Today
4 fixtures
Real Madrid v Villarreal
7:00 PM
57%
Real Madrid
Over 2.5 68%
BTTS 65%
Moderate clarity · 39
Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Club
12:00 PM
· form rising
44%
Rayo Vallecano
Over 2.5 57%
BTTS 60%
Low clarity · 14
Deportivo Alavés v Atlético de Madrid
2:15 PM
· form rising
44%
Deportivo Alavés
Over 2.5 55%
BTTS 58%
Low clarity · 13
Tomorrow
4 fixtures
Real Betis v Osasuna
4:30 PM
59%
Real Betis
Over 2.5 58%
BTTS 55%
Moderate clarity · 42
Elche v Celta de Vigo
12:00 PM
· form rising
44%
Elche
Over 2.5 48%
BTTS 52%
Low clarity · 16
Racing Santander v Valencia
7:00 PM
42%
Racing Santander
Over 2.5 62%
BTTS 64%
Low clarity · 6
Real Sociedad v Deportivo A Coruña
2:15 PM
39%
Real Sociedad
Over 2.5 55%
BTTS 58%
Low clarity · 3
Monday, Oct 12
1 fixture
Levante v Sevilla
7:00 PM
46%
Levante
Over 2.5 52%
BTTS 55%
Low clarity · 18
CONFIDENT READS
Fixtures the model called at 60% or higher, last 30 days
100%
1 of 1 correct
League pulse
Goals per match
2.80
last 10 matches
Draws
40%
above 24% average
Model accuracy
51.2%
vs 33% at random · 473 scored
Avg clarity
22
10 fixtures ahead
On Paper
Research grade projections. Transparent tracking. No hype.
© 2026 On Paper Analytic. Informational research only.
Signal Clarity — 57
There's reasonable data behind this, but either the sample is still building or the outcomes sit fairly close together.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 39
There's reasonable data behind this, but either the sample is still building or the outcomes sit fairly close together.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 14
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 13
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 42
There's reasonable data behind this, but either the sample is still building or the outcomes sit fairly close together.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 16
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 6
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 3
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 18
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high