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Premier League

Projections, form and season leaders.

Premier League Standings

updated 6h ago

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1
UCL

Manchester City

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2
UCL

Arsenal

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3
UCL

Brighton & Hove Albion

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4
UCL

Brentford

523010469WDDDW
5
UEL

Leeds United

52307349WDDWD
6

Liverpool

52307439DDWDW
7

Everton

52306339WDDDW
8

Hull City

52216428WWDDL
9

Newcastle United

52219908DWDLW
10

Chelsea

52121012-27WWLDL
11

Ipswich Town

5203711-46WLLWL
12

Manchester United

51228805LWDLD
13

Nottingham Forest

512245-15LDDWL
14

Sunderland

5113610-44LWDLL
15

Crystal Palace

5113611-54LLWLD
16

Aston Villa

511349-54LLDLW
17

AFC Bournemouth

503268-23LDDDL
18
Relegation

Coventry City

5104110-93LLLLW
19
Relegation

Fulham

502358-32LLLDD
20
Relegation

Tottenham Hotspur

502328-62LLDDL

Goals, and what is behind them. Games scored in separates the striker on five in five from the one with a hat-trick and two blanks, and non-penalty goals separates open play from the spot.

1

Erling Haaland

Norway

Manchester City · 26 · 5 apps · 450 mins

4

Games scored in

5

Goals

2

Alexander Isak

Sweden

Liverpool · 27 · 5 apps · 415 mins

3

Games scored in

4

Goals

3

Rayan Cherki

France

Manchester City · 23 · 5 apps · 306 mins

2

Games scored in

3

Goals

4

João Pedro

Brazil

Chelsea · 25 · 4 apps · 360 mins

3

Games scored in

3

Goals

5

Brian Brobbey

Netherlands

Sunderland · 24 · 5 apps · 401 mins

1

Games scored in

3

Goals

6

Bukayo Saka

England

Arsenal · 25 · 5 apps · 419 mins

3

Games scored in

3

Goals

7

Marcus Tavernier

England

AFC Bournemouth · 27 · 5 apps · 427 mins

3

Games scored in

3

Goals

8

Morgan Rogers

England

Chelsea · 24 · 5 apps · 439 mins

3

Games scored in

3

Goals

9

Pascal Groß

Germany

Brighton & Hove Albion · 35 · 5 apps · 450 mins

3

Games scored in

3

Goals

10

Antoine Semenyo

Ghana

Manchester City · 26 · 5 apps · 450 mins

1

Games scored in

2

Goals

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Projections

Every fixture we cover, with the full distribution rather than a single pick. Days run in order; within a day, the clearest reads come first.

Showing the next three days. Create a free account for a week or a fortnight ahead.

10 of 30 fixtures

Early in the season, most reads here are low clarity teams haven't played enough matches for the model to be confident.

Today

6 fixtures

Tomorrow

3 fixtures

Monday, Oct 12

1 fixture

CONFIDENT READS

Fixtures the model called at 60% or higher, last 30 days

50%

1 of 2 correct

The ones we got wrong

Nottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry City

Model favoured home at 63.9%

League pulse

Goals per match

2.67

last 9 matches

Draws

22%

at or below 28% average

Model accuracy

47.9%

vs 33% at random · 472 scored

Avg clarity

15

10 fixtures ahead

On Paper

Research grade projections. Transparent tracking. No hype.

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