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Projections, form and season leaders.
updated 6h ago
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCL Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | WWWWD |
| 2 | UCL Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 | WWWWD |
| 3 | UCL Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 4 | UCL Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 5 | UEL AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 11 | WWDDW |
| 6 | Conf Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 8 | Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 10 | DWWWL |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 11 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | WWLLL |
| 12 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 | DWLLL |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | LLDLW |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 | LLDLW |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 | LLLWD |
| 18 | Relegation Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | LLDLD |
| 19 | Relegation Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LLLDL |
| 20 | Relegation Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 | LLLLL |
Goals, and what is behind them. Games scored in separates the striker on five in five from the one with a hat-trick and two blanks, and non-penalty goals separates open play from the spot.
1

Donyell Malen


Roma · 27 · 5 apps · 345 mins
3
Games scored in
6
Goals
2

Lautaro Martínez


Inter · 29 · 4 apps · 324 mins
2
Games scored in
4
Goals
3

Gustavo Varela


Monza · 21 · 4 apps · 338 mins
3
Games scored in
4
Goals
4

Antonio Raimondo


Frosinone · 22 · 5 apps · 419 mins
2
Games scored in
4
Goals
5

Diego Moreira


AC Milan · 22 · 3 apps · 126 mins
2
Games scored in
3
Goals
6

Vasilije Adžić


Sassuolo · 20 · 5 apps · 221 mins
3
Games scored in
3
Goals
7

Daniel Maldini


Cagliari · 24 · 5 apps · 369 mins
3
Games scored in
3
Goals
8

Franco Mastantuono


Fiorentina · 19 · 5 apps · 378 mins
1
Games scored in
3
Goals
9

Ricardo Mangas


Monza · 28 · 5 apps · 371 mins
1
Games scored in
1
Goals
10

Mattia Zaccagni


Lazio · 31 · 5 apps · 447 mins
1
Games scored in
1
Goals
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Every fixture we cover, with the full distribution rather than a single pick. Days run in order; within a day, the clearest reads come first.
Showing the next three days. Create a free account for a week or a fortnight ahead.
10 of 31 fixtures
Early in the season, most reads here are low clarity teams haven't played enough matches for the model to be confident.
Today
3 fixtures
Napoli v Frosinone
6:45 PM
45%
Napoli
Over 2.5 50%
BTTS 53%
Low clarity · 11
Genoa v Fiorentina
1:00 PM
38%
Fiorentina
Over 2.5 38%
BTTS 44%
Low clarity · 5
Tomorrow
5 fixtures
Cagliari v Juventus
6:45 PM
· form rising
46%
Juventus
Over 2.5 38%
BTTS 43%
Low clarity · 20
Lecce v Bologna
1:00 PM
40%
Bologna
Over 2.5 35%
BTTS 42%
Low clarity · 12
Lazio v Monza
1:00 PM
· form rising
45%
Lazio
Over 2.5 51%
BTTS 55%
Low clarity · 11
Como v Roma
10:30 AM
· form rising
40%
Roma
Over 2.5 51%
BTTS 55%
Low clarity · 6
Sassuolo v AC Milan
4:00 PM
· form rising
38%
Sassuolo
Over 2.5 49%
BTTS 54%
Low clarity · 2
Monday, Oct 12
2 fixtures
Atalanta v Venezia
4:30 PM
49%
Atalanta
Over 2.5 51%
BTTS 54%
Low clarity · 17
Torino v Udinese
6:45 PM
40%
Udinese
Over 2.5 49%
BTTS 54%
Low clarity · 6
CONFIDENT READS
Fixtures the model called at 60% or higher, last 30 days
100%
1 of 1 correct
League pulse
Goals per match
2.33
last 9 matches
Draws
33%
above 26% average
Model accuracy
49.8%
vs 33% at random · 472 scored
Avg clarity
14
11 fixtures ahead
On Paper
Research grade projections. Transparent tracking. No hype.
© 2026 On Paper Analytic. Informational research only.
Signal Clarity — 50
There's reasonable data behind this, but either the sample is still building or the outcomes sit fairly close together.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 11
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 5
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 20
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 12
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 11
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 6
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 2
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 17
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 6
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high