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Projections, form and season leaders.
updated 6h ago
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Südtirol | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 3 | Mantova | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 11 | WWDWD |
| 4 | Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 5 | Modena | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | WWLDW |
| 6 | Ascoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Hellas Verona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 | LDWLW |
| 8 | Cesena | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | DWDDD |
| 9 | Benevento | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | LDLWW |
| 10 | Pisa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | LWWLD |
| 11 | Calcio Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 | WDLWL |
| 12 | Empoli | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 | WLWLL |
| 13 | Arezzo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | LLDWD |
| 15 | Cremonese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 | LLWDD |
| 16 | Relegation Vicenza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 17 | Relegation Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LLLWL |
| 18 | Relegation Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LWLDD |
| 19 | Relegation Catanzaro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 | LLLWL |
| 20 | Relegation Carrarese | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LDLLL |
Goals, and what is behind them. Games scored in separates the striker on five in five from the one with a hat-trick and two blanks, and non-penalty goals separates open play from the spot.
1

Cristian Shpendi


Cesena · 23 · 5 apps · 424 mins
5
Games scored in
6
Goals
2

Francesco Ruocco


Mantova · 25 · 5 apps · 362 mins
4
Games scored in
4
Goals
3

Antonio Di Nardo


Juve Stabia · 28 · 4 apps · 234 mins
3
Games scored in
3
Goals
4

Andrea Silipo


Ascoli · 25 · 5 apps · 321 mins
2
Games scored in
3
Goals
5

Dennis Johnsen


Palermo · 28 · 5 apps · 356 mins
3
Games scored in
3
Goals
6

Federico Bonazzoli


Cremonese · 29 · 5 apps · 381 mins
2
Games scored in
3
Goals
7

Raffaele Russo


Avellino · 27 · 5 apps · 434 mins
3
Games scored in
3
Goals
8

Daniel Mosquera


Hellas Verona · 26 · 1 apps · 22 mins
1
Games scored in
2
Goals
9

Giuseppe Ambrosino


Modena · 23 · 5 apps · 440 mins
2
Games scored in
2
Goals
10

Matteo Tramoni


Pisa · 26 · 5 apps · 346 mins
1
Games scored in
1
Goals
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Every fixture we cover, with the full distribution rather than a single pick. Days run in order; within a day, the clearest reads come first.
Showing the next three days. Create a free account for a week or a fortnight ahead.
9 of 36 fixtures
Early in the season, most reads here are low clarity teams haven't played enough matches for the model to be confident.
Today
6 fixtures
Benevento v Cesena
1:00 PM
55%
Benevento
Over 2.5 51%
BTTS 52%
Low clarity · 23
Vicenza v Pisa
3:15 PM
45%
Vicenza
Over 2.5 59%
BTTS 61%
Low clarity · 10
Arezzo v Cremonese
5:30 PM
42%
Arezzo
Over 2.5 52%
BTTS 55%
Low clarity · 7
Südtirol v Ascoli
1:00 PM
· form rising
39%
Südtirol
Over 2.5 44%
BTTS 50%
Low clarity · 3
Empoli v Palermo
1:00 PM
38%
Empoli
Over 2.5 47%
BTTS 52%
Low clarity · 3
Tomorrow
3 fixtures
Catanzaro v Mantova
1:00 PM
45%
Catanzaro
Over 2.5 56%
BTTS 58%
Low clarity · 17
Calcio Padova v Carrarese
3:15 PM
42%
Calcio Padova
Over 2.5 46%
BTTS 51%
Low clarity · 12
Modena v Hellas Verona
5:30 PM
· form rising
44%
Modena
Over 2.5 51%
BTTS 55%
Low clarity · 9
CONFIDENT READS
Fixtures the model called at 60% or higher, last 30 days
100%
1 of 1 correct
League pulse
Goals per match
3.10
last 10 matches
Draws
20%
at or below 30% average
Model accuracy
47.7%
vs 33% at random · 350 scored
Avg clarity
14
10 fixtures ahead
On Paper
Research grade projections. Transparent tracking. No hype.
© 2026 On Paper Analytic. Informational research only.
Signal Clarity — 31
There's reasonable data behind this, but either the sample is still building or the outcomes sit fairly close together.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 23
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 10
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 7
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 3
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 3
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 17
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 12
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high
Signal Clarity — 9
Thin data, a near coin-flip, or both. The projection is still our best estimate — it just isn't worth much weight.
Clarity is not the chance of the result happening — that's the percentage. It's how much weight the read deserves.
0–29 low · 30–59 moderate · 60–100 high